Author Archives: Mendel Zilberberg

While playing on the same board – America is playing checkers and Iran is playing chess

While playing on the same board - America is playing checkers and Iran is playing chess

As the story goes, a person once observed an exchange between his friend and an acquaintance. The friend offered to buy the Brooklyn Bridge from the acquaintance for $40 million.

The acquaintance readily agreed to the sale, at which point the friend asked if he could pay by check. The acquaintance very quickly agreed. The friend asked for a pen so that he could make out a check. Once again this request was very quickly agreed to. The pen was handed over, the check was made out and handed over, at which point both the acquaintance and the friend shook hands, congratulated each other on the sale of the Brooklyn Bridge and went their separate ways.

Bewildered, the observer approached his friend and asked what had just happened. Essentially, he pointed out, the friend did not have the money to pay, and the acquaintance did not own the bridge. Therefore, what was the purpose of the exchange?
The friend looked at him, totally astonished, and started waving the pen. “Don’t you understand what happened here?” he asked. “It was all about the pen. I got his pen!”

We have heard for many months that there are ongoing negotiations between numerous countries (the United States and its cohorts) and Iran regarding the specter of a nuclear Iran. Using a carrot-and-stick approach, discussions took place with respect to relaxing sanctions, and the world’s unwillingness to allow Iran to achieve nuclear capability, while clearly stating that all options are on the table in the event that Iran does not cooperate. The dialogue degenerated over time to an acceptance that Iran would achieve nuclear capability. With a mysterious disappearance of all options being open, the issue was somehow shifted from the inability to achieve nuclear capability, to issues of Iran’s ability to produce military-grade uranium. Over time, the talks further shifted from absolute inability to produce military-grade uranium to a question of how many centrifuges they would be allowed to operate. What many people did not understand was that the number of centrifuges was really a question of how much time it would take Iran to develop sufficient military-grade uranium if they decided to break whatever deal was agreed to.

The first problem is that the “center of gravity” of the negotiations has been constantly shifting in favor of Iran. The second problem is that even if an agreement was made with respect to the number of centrifuges, essentially we would be lifting economic sanctions. Iran would then have the ability to rebuild its economy, and thereafter would be free to do whatever it wants with respect to developing military-grade uranium. Let’s not forget that it is not a question of “if” they have nuclear capability, but how much notice the rest of the world might get.

However, even with these significantly diminished expectations on the part of the United States and its negotiators, an agreement cannot be reached. Once again, another postponement was suggested and will probably be instituted.

I am reminded of the story of the Brooklyn Bridge sale. It seems that Iran is just fighting for time. Time is the “pen.” The world thinks that the issue is sanctions and/or centrifuges, but it is all about borrowing more time. Viewed through that lens, it is clear that Iran has continuously and substantially outmaneuvered the United States and its cohorts in this negotiation.

When will they wake up? When will they realize that there are people and regimes that just cannot be trusted?

The opinions expressed on this page are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Hamodia.

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Is the 2012 presidential election irrelevant

If one takes a moment and looks beyond the reasons every party seems to be promoting – why a vote for the other candidate/party is not good for America, and takes a cursory look at the challenges ahead of us, one might easily conclude that there may not be a very big difference who is elected to office.

Obviously, Obama and Romney have a very different world view, agenda, and plan (even if the plan neither been articulated nor shared with the American public in any significant detail).

The harsh reality is that we have a $16 trillion debt, and unprecedented deficit, looming social security issues, looming Medicare issues, higher defense spending then the second third and fourth place countries combined, high unemployment, a corporate tax rate that creates an incentive for companies to take their business elsewhere, and a global economy in which our foreign counterparts are more efficient in many areas.

With all of these looming challenges in the backdrop, we are assaulted with questions of whether Mr. Romney should disclose his tax returns (although not required to do so by law) or how egregious the (hopefully) accidentally released commercial regarding Romney as the cause of a woman’s death.

Medicare has become a big issue, because each party is trying to get the senior vote. However, the disagreement should be able to be resolved by an independent audit, accounting firm, or any other disinterested party that actually had the time and inclination to ascertain which plan would ultimately adversely affect Medicare.

Similarly, the Latino vote is being courted with some hollow immigration concessions which at best puts a bad aid on the real issue.

Obviously, immigration, entitlements, education, and foreign policy are also very important.

My question is if any of the candidates in their four-year term (in the case of Obama) or eight-year term (potentially in the case of Romney) can really address these issues in a meaningful way. . Let’s not forget that the president is not the “all-powerful” or ” omnipotent” person that people often assume.

We fortunately have checks and balances in this country and ultimately the president is subject to Congress and the Supreme Court.

Can any president really effect change considering the challenges we face.

Even if one party won both the presidential election and control of Congress would they be really able effect change.

Can change only occur if Americans as a whole recognize that there are some very tough (and painful) choices to be made, and the sacrifices can not be solely made by the other fellow or the other party.

Can real change be effected without consensus between the parties.

Has either candidate shown that they can reach across the divide and reach a consensus. Has this multi billion dollar “race to the bottom” campaign so muddied the waters that it is improbable that whoever wins will be able to effect meaningful change.

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If ‘pro’ is the opposite of ‘con’ what is the opposite of ‘progress’? – Paul Harvey

As we enter the last stretch in the 2012 presidential campaign, both the Republicans and the Democrats have decided to spend incredible sums for their respective campaigns, or better yet, to hammer their opponents into the ground.

I think one of the reasons that we are exposed to a daily barrage criticizing the opponent, is because neither of the candidates are able to really articulate how they are going to right the course. However, that may be a discussion for another day, as I would like to devote this post to the issue of outsourcing.

The Democrats have made a lot of hay out of the allegation that Mitt Romney was responsible for outsourcing during his tenure at Bain & Co. I am not certain that the outsourcing occurred during his tenure, or in fact that he was responsible for it. However, even if that were the case, I fail to understand the problem that outsourcing raises with respect to a candidates ability to faithfully serve as president of the United States.

From my perspective, there is a predicate question. Is outsourcing the evil that the Democrats claim. The secondary questions are (1) and even if outsourcing is evil, and even if Mitt Romney was responsible for outsourcing, does that in any way affect or limit his ability to lead this nation, and (2) is this really one of the core issues in this election, (3) is the negative campaign (on both sides of the divide) driven by an inability to set forth in concrete terms how a particular candidate or party will effect short term refief as well as lonf term answers to the obvious questions. I will deal with the first question in this post and leave the other questions for my followers to ponder.

When I was in law school we had a professor who expected everyone in the class to be prepared for class so that they could participate in the many questions posed by the professor and participate in the open dialogue. He took great exception to those students were not properly prepared, and as he explained it, this class was like in open ground bag lunch. To the extent you attend the lunch and expect to eat (derive the benefits) you have to contribute.

We live in a global economy. We are very happy when Boeing, IBM, eBay, Amazon, Microsoft, Dell, and numerous other companies generate significant revenue and profits through foreign sales. All of these companies outsource manufacturing and /or service operations. It makes sense – we live in a global economy. While we used to comparison shop in the neighborhood, and as our reach grew we shopped throughout the city, state and country, we now are able to comparison shop anywhere on the planet. To remain relevant and to maximize profits, companies must avail themselves of the best the world has to offer – and similarly they have to offer the best value proposition to their clientele. Is it reasonable to think that American businesses will flourish if they operate with one hand tied behind their back. In addition, is it reasonable to expect our global trading counterparts to embrace our products and services if we reject theirs.

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The Ugly Side of “face value” – How much of “our face” do we unwittingly reveal on the Internet

Both the regulatory environment in which we live, as well as, the insistence of consumers we live in an environment in which we fully expect – for the most part – to be provided with the cost of an item or service before we make a purchase.

However, price disclosure in and of itself does not necessarily mean that the consumer is being treated fairly. One of my pet peeves has always been the fact that an economy customer on a United States domestic flight can be paying either one 10th, or 10 times as much as the person sitting next to them for the same ticket, with the same privileges, and the same cost to the airline. Of course, this seeming inequity is justified by the amount of time the reservation or confirmation is made before flight is taken, the airlines need to either (a) give last-minute seats at discount because they have to generate revenue, albeit at a discount, for last-minute seats, or (b) charge exorbitantly high prices for last-minute reservations because they have kept these seats out of sale inventory at cheaper prices to accommodate the needs of people who make the last-minute reservations, and accordingly are entitled to a premium. In either case, the general feeling is that the airlines have been able to ascertain just how desperate the passenger is, and charge them accordingly.

Imagine walking into a clothing store and when asking how much an article of clothing cost you were told that “that depends on how badly you need it” which is the general feeling I have about airline charges. Fortunately, this is not the case in the retail establishment — or is it.

I recently read an article which referenced a 2006 study by Kathryn Graddy that deals with the Fulton Fish market in New York, and found that Asian buyers were given better pricing because they rejected higher prices and were perceived to have the capacity to boycott dealers that they felt ripped them off.

While that related to brick-and-mortar retail sales, apparently there are a number of companies that offer price customization software, and the article in the Economist, listed [24]7 and RealRelevance with a strong suggestion of the following.

Apparently, many retail websites are able to use technology to customize their pricing, or in other words develop close and profiles of individual shoppers relatively easily. The article goes on to say that retail websites can incorporate software to detect shoppers who can afford to pay more, or who are in a hurry to buy (kind of reminds me of the airlines) and thereby offer them pricier options or in fact charge more for the same product.

Those “cookies” that we often read about but most of us do not understand, are able to allow data aggregators to zero in on demographic data including where we live (and thereby take a stab at our income/discretionary dollars) and/or analyze how long we look at a particular product before going to the price (illustrating that we have either made up her mind or are in a rush) or the extent of our comparison shopping.

While I do not fully understand how this works, or the totality of its implications, one thing is clear – to the extent this is happening, our privacy is being invaded in a truly detrimental way, despite the fact that our personal identities may not be revealed.

The argument that full body scans at the airport are not really an invasion of privacy because the inspector viewing the scan has no idea who the person is, can only take you so far. When the product you are being offered, or the price that you pay is determined by a “deep dive” into your spending habits/web browsing patterns/income/place of residence, anonymity does not answer the problem.

Apparently, we show much more of our face then we realize, often to our detriment.

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